Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.607173 1.991967 2.491167 3.206005 4.238826 5.739387 8.218026
2025-02-02 1.146309 1.579445 2.239140 3.394383 5.568772 10.059353 22.494625
2025-02-09 0.884735 1.297499 1.991320 3.381981 6.576638 15.596131 61.575355
2025-02-16 0.713736 1.089778 1.764680 3.252543 7.236828 22.095958 184.667650
2025-02-23 0.620494 0.982667 1.673369 3.343714 8.598201 36.136942 1579.740454
2025-03-02 0.558414 0.913693 1.629823 3.521667 10.552337 66.891550 NaN
2025-03-09 0.499040 0.835956 1.543182 3.541631 12.057739 116.894241 NaN
2025-03-16 0.441085 0.749909 1.415177 3.380071 12.589415 175.341465 NaN
2025-03-23 0.411887 0.716175 1.398235 3.558391 15.439082 480.236333 NaN
2025-03-30 0.380635 0.672760 1.347051 3.599224 17.717791 1476.153001 NaN
2025-04-06 0.348418 0.622502 1.267621 3.501773 18.889750 4773.918267 NaN
2025-04-13 0.321544 0.580266 1.200429 3.423312 20.237160 40813.072895 NaN
2025-04-20 0.311515 0.574467 1.230391 3.770497 27.897187 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.298380 0.559850 1.233504 4.017468 36.739626 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.279731 0.529958 1.186504 4.003769 41.870626 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.259691 0.494514 1.116641 3.840939 43.354511 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.248074 0.477866 1.100189 3.955888 53.886774 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.239618 0.467810 1.101973 4.180970 73.309457 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.228134 0.448980 1.072363 4.206290 87.641424 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.213804 0.421689 1.010966 4.001798 87.634162 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.207741 0.414611 1.014777 4.227556 125.158901 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.199436 0.400966 0.994166 4.279402 157.327110 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.189367 0.381895 0.952062 4.155758 168.689842 NaN NaN